Masiku angapo apitawo, Nguyen Jinchang, wachiwiri kwa wapampando wa Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association, anati chaka cha 2020 ndi chaka choyamba chomwe malonda a nsalu ndi zovala ku Vietnam akukula pang'ono ndi 10.5% m'zaka 25. Kuchuluka kwa malonda otumizidwa kunja ndi madola 35 biliyoni aku US okha, kuchepa kwa madola 4 biliyoni aku US kuchokera ku madola 39 biliyoni aku US mu 2019. Komabe, poganizira kuchuluka kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi kwa makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala kukutsika kuchoka pa US $ 740 biliyoni kufika pa US $ 600 biliyoni, kuchepa konse kwa 22%, kuchepa kwa mpikisano aliyense nthawi zambiri kumakhala 15%-20%, ndipo ena atsika mpaka 30% chifukwa cha mfundo zodzipatula. , malonda a nsalu ndi zovala ku Vietnam sanatsike kwambiri.
Chifukwa cha kusakhalapo kwa kudzipatula ndi kuyimitsidwa kwa kupanga mu 2020, Vietnam ili pakati pa ogulitsa nsalu ndi zovala apamwamba 5 padziko lonse lapansi. Ichi ndi chifukwa chofunikira kwambiri chothandizira kutumiza nsalu ndi zovala ku Vietnam kuti zikhalebe m'mabungwe 5 apamwamba otumiza kunja ngakhale kuti kugulitsa zovala kwatsika kwambiri.
Mu lipoti la McKenzy (mc kenzy) lomwe linafalitsidwa pa Disembala 4, linanena kuti phindu la makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala padziko lonse lapansi lidzachepa ndi 93% mu 2020. Makampani odziwika bwino opanga zovala ndi maunyolo ogulitsa ku United States alephera kugwira ntchito, ndipo unyolo wogulitsa zovala mdzikolo uli ndi pafupifupi 20%. Anthu zikwi khumi alibe ntchito. Nthawi yomweyo, chifukwa kupanga sikunasokonezedwe, gawo la msika wa nsalu ndi zovala ku Vietnam likupitirira kukula, kufika pa 20% ya gawo la msika ku US koyamba, ndipo lakhala pamalo oyamba kwa miyezi yambiri.
Popeza mapangano 13 a malonda aulere anayamba kugwira ntchito, kuphatikizapo EVFTA, ngakhale kuti sanali okwanira kubweza kuchepa kwa malonda, nawonso adagwira ntchito yofunika kwambiri pochepetsa maoda.
Malinga ndi zomwe zanenedweratu, msika wa nsalu ndi zovala ukhoza kubwerera pamlingo wa 2019 koyambirira kwa kotala lachiwiri la 2022 ndi kotala lachinayi la 2023. Chifukwa chake, mu 2021, kukhala mumkhalidwe wa mliriwu kudzakhalabe chaka chovuta komanso chosatsimikizika. Makhalidwe atsopano ambiri a unyolo wopereka katundu awonekera, zomwe zakakamiza makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala kuti asinthe pang'ono.
Choyamba n’chakuti kutsika kwa mitengo kwadzaza msika, ndipo zinthu zokhala ndi masitayelo osavuta zalowa m’malo mwa mafashoni. Izi zapangitsanso kuti pakhale kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zingagwiritsidwe ntchito, komanso kuti pasakhale zinthu zatsopano zokwanira, zomwe zawonjezera malonda pa intaneti komanso kuchepetsa maulalo apakati.
Poganizira makhalidwe a msika awa, cholinga chachikulu cha makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala ku Vietnam mu 2021 ndi madola 39 biliyoni aku US, zomwe ndi zachangu kuyambira miyezi 9 mpaka zaka ziwiri kuposa msika wamba. Poyerekeza ndi cholinga chachikulu, cholinga chachikulu ndi madola 38 biliyoni aku US omwe amatumizidwa kunja, chifukwa makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala akufunikirabe thandizo la boma pankhani yokhazikitsa chuma cha dziko lonse, mfundo zachuma, ndi chiwongola dzanja.
Pa Disembala 30, malinga ndi Vietnam News Agency, oimira ovomerezeka (akazembe) a maboma a Vietnam ndi Britain adasaina mwalamulo Pangano la Zamalonda la Vietnam-UK (UKVFTA) ku London, UK. M'mbuyomu, pa Disembala 11, 2020, Nduna ya Zamalonda ndi Zamalonda ku Vietnam, Chen Junying, ndi Nduna ya Zamalonda Zapadziko Lonse ku Britain, Liz Truss, adasaina chikalata chogwirizana kuti amalize kukambirana za mgwirizano wa UKVFTA, ndikukhazikitsa maziko a njira zofunikira zalamulo kuti mayiko awiriwa asaine mwalamulo.
Pakadali pano, magulu awiriwa akufulumira kumaliza njira zoyenera zapakhomo motsatira malamulo ndi malangizo a mayiko awo, kuonetsetsa kuti mgwirizanowu uyamba kugwira ntchito nthawi yomweyo kuyambira 23:00 pa Disembala 31, 2020.
Ponena za kuchoka mwalamulo kwa UK mu EU ndi kutha kwa nthawi yosinthira pambuyo pa kutuluka kwa EU (Disembala 31, 2020), kusaina pangano la UKVFTA kudzaonetsetsa kuti malonda pakati pa Vietnam ndi UK sadzasokonezedwa pambuyo pa kutha kwa nthawi yosinthira.
Pangano la UKVFTA silimangotsegula malonda a katundu ndi ntchito zokha, komanso limaphatikizapo zinthu zina zofunika kwambiri, monga kukula kobiriwira ndi chitukuko chokhazikika.
UK ndi bwenzi lachitatu lalikulu la malonda ku Vietnam ku Europe. Malinga ndi ziwerengero kuchokera ku General Administration of Customs of Vietnam, mu 2019, mtengo wonse wa zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja ndi kunja pakati pa mayiko awiriwa unafika pa 6.6 biliyoni ya madola aku US, pomwe zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja zinafika pa 5.8 biliyoni ya madola aku US ndipo zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja zinafika pa 857 miliyoni ya madola aku US. Kuyambira 2011 mpaka 2019, kuchuluka kwapakati pa kukula kwa zinthu zonse zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja ndi kunja kwa Vietnam ndi Britain kunali 12.1%, komwe kunali kokwera kuposa kuchuluka kwapakati pa 10% ya Vietnam pachaka.
Zinthu zazikulu zomwe Vietnam imatumiza ku UK ndi monga mafoni ndi zida zake zosinthira, nsalu ndi zovala, nsapato, zinthu zam'madzi, zinthu zamatabwa ndi matabwa, makompyuta ndi zida zina, mtedza wa cashew, khofi, tsabola, ndi zina zotero. Zinthu zomwe Vietnam imatumiza kuchokera ku UK ndi monga makina, zida, mankhwala, zitsulo, ndi mankhwala. Zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa ndi kutumizidwa kunja pakati pa mayiko awiriwa ndi zogwirizana osati zopikisana.
Zinthu zomwe Britain imagulitsa pachaka zimafika pafupifupi US$700 biliyoni, ndipo zonse zomwe Vietnam imatumiza ku UK zimafika pa 1% yokha. Chifukwa chake, pali malo ambiri oti zinthu zaku Vietnam zikule pamsika wa UK.
Pambuyo pa Brexit, phindu lomwe labwera ndi "Mgwirizano wa Malonda aulere wa Vietnam-EU" (EVFTA) silidzagwira ntchito pamsika wa UK. Chifukwa chake, kusaina pangano la malonda aulere la mayiko awiri kudzapanga mikhalidwe yabwino yolimbikitsira kusintha, kutsegula misika ndi ntchito zothandizira malonda potengera kulandira zotsatira zabwino za zokambirana za EVFTA.
Unduna wa Zamalonda ndi Zamalonda ku Vietnam unanena kuti zinthu zina zomwe zikukula pamsika wa UK zikuphatikizapo nsalu ndi zovala. Mu 2019, UK imatumiza makamaka nsalu ndi zovala kuchokera ku Vietnam. Ngakhale kuti China ili ndi gawo lalikulu pamsika wa UK, katundu wa nsalu ndi zovala wochokera ku UK watsika ndi 8% m'zaka zisanu zapitazi. Kuphatikiza pa China, Bangladesh, Cambodia ndi Pakistan amatumizanso nsalu ndi zovala ku UK. Mayikowa ali ndi mwayi kuposa Vietnam pankhani ya misonkho. Chifukwa chake, mgwirizano wamalonda waulere pakati pa Vietnam ndi United Kingdom udzabweretsa misonkho yapadera, yomwe ithandiza katundu waku Vietnam kukhala ndi mwayi wopikisana ndi ena.
Nthawi yotumizira: Disembala-31-2020


